Taking a cue from the recent Eurozone financial crisis which almost
crippled all economies in the Euro area, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the coordinating
minister for the economy and minister of finance, is now warning member states
of the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) to be cautious and not hurry into
adopting the long thought-out monetary union for the zone.
Okonjo-Iweala’s warning on Thursday was because member states of WAMZ,
which a few years back conceived the idea of establishing a common monetary
union and a single currency, are finding it difficult to meet all set
convergence criteria necessary for the project to take off.
Even the latest January 1, 2015 launch date is already missed because
only Nigeria met all the four primary convergence criteria, a situation which
now raises concerns around whether the monetary union project is even feasible
at all.
Speaking at the convergence meeting of the WAMZ finance ministers and
central bank governors in Abuja, she said that the consequences of a failed monetary union, as was seen in the Eurozone is huge as she raised worries that
Nigeria, being the largest economy in the zone and Africa would likely bear the
brunt if the project is hastily embarked on and eventually fails.
She said that a progress review of the project showed that there were
still some persisting challenges.
According to her, most states failed in containing inflation within
single digits, also noting lingering challenges of fiscal deficit.
She said these developments underscore the need to deepen the fiscal
and monetary policy coordination across member states, adding that past
experiences have shown the need to persevere in overcoming the overwhelming challenges
of creating a monetary union.
To this end, Okonjo-Iweala noted that it would be extremely important
that a high degree of consistent macroeconomic work be complemented by sound
financial system in all member states.
“Like what happened in European Union, some members were not ready but
they went into the union that was not a very solid platform and consequently,
when the financial crisis came, they were not able to withstand,” she stressed.
“So before we go in, it is very important that we make sure we get
everything right, there is nobody chasing us behind our back. We have a target
date, but let’s have a quality launch, that can be sustained because, if not,
members will begin to exit when they cannot keep up with the criteria. And that
does not help,” she warned.
The coordinating minister strongly advised all the countries to now
focus on achieving those set criteria, especially the macroeconomic ones, as
she equally commended the six countries for their efforts towards the monetary
union launch.
“And the reason is that Nigeria is the largest economy in Africa, we
are likely to bear the brunt of any union or launch that is not based on solid
grounds.
“So let us take our time, the set time comes and we are not quite
ready, we should not be shy to say we are not ready and then rush into
something because the consequences of a failed monetary union are severe,” she
told the meeting.
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