The 10-Point: On the Defensive
Investors came into 2015 ready for more gains in U.S. stocks. But
instead, they have been playing defense. We report that worries about the
resilience of the U.S. economy played out Tuesday in the bond market, where yields on
government bonds dropped and prices rose. Investors flocked to German and
Japanese debt, sending yields on some to record lows. In the U.S., the yield on
the 10-year Treasury dropped below 2%, ending the day at its lowest level since
May 2013. And U.S. stocks fell, with the S&P 500 marking its
longest losing streak in more than a year. The global selloff showed signs of
easing today. European stocks steadied despite news that eurozone
consumer prices fell on an annual basis for the first time in over five
years, but the euro touched a nine-year low and German bond yields held close
to record lows.
The selling also eased in Asia as stocks in Japan snapped a
four-session losing streak on a rising dollar and Australia pared earlier
losses. Meanwhile, we look at how Asian companies that used cheap U.S. dollar loans to pile
up heavy debts are facing a dual threat: the resurgent dollar and the likelihood
of higher interest payments as the U.S. moves to raise rates. (Pictured above:
Slower growth in China is adding to the challenges facing borrowers across
Asia. Workers assemble LED lights in Shandong province.)
Let it Flow
Why are U.S. producers continuing to pump oil even as crude trades for
less than $50 a barrel? Our story looks at how American oil and gas companies
have gone heavily into debt during the energy boom and now need to
service it. We note that firms have increased their borrowing by 55% since
2010, to almost $200 billion, and energy analysts warn that defaults could be
coming. “There are too many ugly balance sheets,” says one. Some lenders are
asking producers to provide plans for how they will handle further drops in the
price of crude, while others are pressing for asset sales. But it is unclear
whether overall U.S. output will decline, since some larger producers still
expect to produce more oil and natural gas in 2015 than last year by focusing
on their best drilling prospects. Oil prices fell further today, with the Brent crude
benchmark falling below $50 a barrel, joining West Texas Intermediate, for the
first time since 2009.
Fresh Start
On the opening of the 114th Congress, Republicans officially took over
both chambers and comity reigned temporarily. House Speaker John
Boehner kissed Minority Leader Nancy
Pelosi after a failed attempt by the most conservative Republicans to derail his bid to remain speaker. Though he survived, we
note that Mr. Boehner saw the most opposition in a speaker election since 1923.
Our story examines the advantages that Mr. Boehner will have with the new
Congress and looks at two familiar policy conflicts between Republicans and the
White House that also resurfaced yesterday. Officials said President Barack
Obama is prepared to veto two bills GOP leaders plan to consider soon—one
approving the Keystone XL pipeline and another changing the Affordable Care
Act’s definition of a full-time worker from 30 to 40 hours a week. Mr. Obama
will play host to congressional leaders next week in the first face-to-face
meeting with Republican leaders who gained control of both chambers of the new
Congress.
Learning the Ropes
A new year can bring new skills, but what’s getting in the way? Our
columnist Elizabeth Holmes examines the factors that often hinder
adults from learning new skills such as skiing, golfing and computer coding.
She notes that children learn with open minds and fewer worries about mistakes,
while adults often think through a new skill in great detail before trying.
While skiing, for example, adults may want to be perfect from the start, notes
one instructor. Getting them to “learn to falter once in a while” is often a
challenge. Language instruction typically emphasizes mechanics rather than
conversation. Children, however, just start talking, unafraid of making
mistakes. And Elizabeth finds that fear is a big factor in adults’ aversion to
learning to code. They need to “get past their inhibitions that this may be too
hard or too scary,” says the chief executive of Code.org.
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