Deposit Money banks yesterday halted trading in the local
currency, the naira, after it exceeded its daily circuit-breaker of N200
to the dollar band.
Analysts said last night, that renewed pressure on the
naira which saw it drop by more than two percent, occasioned by fears
that the postponement of this week’s election could trigger a
constitutional crisis was responsible.
However, Ibrahim Muazu, CBN’s Director of Corporate
Communications explains that exchange rate volatility happens by
seconds, adding that it is usually caused by unexpected behaviour by
market dealers.
“One of the measures to addressing this challenge is
intervention. If the CBN has not done anything, the exchange rate would
have gone higher than what we had,” he said last night on phone.
“We hope that the rate will come down tomorrow”, (today) Muazu added.
Johnson Chukwu, managing Director, Cowry Asset Management
Limited, said that it was a s a result of irrational behaviour or fear
on the part of dealers considering the uncertainty in the market that made them quote outside the band that led CBN to temporarly stop trading.
Consequently, they are calling on the Federal Government
to take immediate action to resolve the uncertainty created in the
foreign exchange market, which led to a shut down of the interbank
market after the naira exchanged for N205 against the US dollar,
reaching upper limit of its circuit breaker, analysts have said.
BusinessDay gathered that leading deposit money banks on
Wednesday halted trading and resumed by 2pm after traders held an
emergency meeting.
The local currency traded at a record low of 204.25 to the
dollar in the morning of Wednesday but later moderated to exchange at
N200.15 after two oil companies – Total and Shell sold some amount of
dollars.
Consequently, after trading on Wednesday, the naira lost
N0.05k/$ as it closed at N200.15k/$ compared to N200.10k/$ the previous
day.
Analysts say the need to float the naira has become apparent, as they expect it to go to N220/$1 before it stabilises.
Kunle Ezun, analyst at Ecobank Nigeria, told BusinessDay
on phone, that the naira improved after the two oil majors sold dollars
and that helped calm the anxiety in the market.
Meanwhile, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) may have
offered some amount of dollars to some deposit money banks at the rate
of N168/$ at the Retail Dutch Auction System (RDAS).
The naira pressure being driven by the combination of a
tumbling oil price and a rise in political risk, highlighted last
Saturday, when authorities pushed back the Feb. 14 presidential election
by six weeks, blaming an Islamist insurgency by Boko Haram militants.
Last year the Central Bank spent an average of $20 million
a day defending the naira, burning through 20 percent of its reserves
in an attempt to offset the halving of the oil price. Crude oil accounts
for more than 90 percent of Nigerian foreign exchange, Reuters reports.
The naira is officially pegged at 160-176 against the
dollar after an eight percent devaluation in November but it has rarely
traded within that range, and most analysts reckon authorities will have
to devalue again.
At the money market on Tuesday, the overnight tenor of the
Nigeria Inter-Bank Offered Rates (NIBOR), which is the temporary rate
used by banks to meet immediate liquidity needs fell to 15.41 percent
from 65.96 percent the previous day, about 50.54 percent drop.
Dealers said a N30 billion budget allocation to some
government agencies was also credited through the banking system,
boosting liquidity.
Banks’ balance with the Central Bank stood at a credit of
N123 billion on Wednesday, from 52.3 billion naira in credit previous
day.
The Central Bank has been tightening
liquidity and intervening directly with dollar sales to commercial
lenders to support the ailing naira, hit by falling oil prices.




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