Barely eleven days to February 14
presidential election, many people, apparently spurred by fear of
possible post-election violence and reprisal, are noticed moving from
the areas of their current abode to areas they consider safe for their
families, mostly home states and regions.
BusinessDay findings show that some
Nigerians living in areas considered politically volatile are not only
jittery, but leaving for their home towns or other areas they consider
safer. Apart from the North East states of Borno, Yobe and Adamawa,
which have been under siege as a result of the terrorist activities of
Boko Haram, Abuja, Port Harcourt, and to a lesser degree, Lagos are
other cities of the country considered to be ‘hot’ during the elections.
Their fears are palpably based on
antecedence. In 2011, post presidential-election violence erupted that
saw scores of innocent Nigerians, including members of the National
Youth Service Corp (NYSC)) on national duties killed and properties
worth millions of naira lost by the victims in some parts of the
country. The incumbent President, Goodluck Ebele Jonathan, won the
election, sparking off violent protests in areas considered the
strongholds of Mohammed Buhari, who ran then on the platform of Congress
for Progress Change (CPC).
Four years after, the 2015 presidential
election is again going to be a straight contest between the two major
figures in the 2011 election. Although eleven other political parties
are fielding candidates for the presidential elections, they are however
less visible. While President Jonathan remains the candidate of the
ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Buhari is the candidate of the
All Progressives Congress (APC), a fusion of his defunct CPC, Action
Congress of Nigeria (ACN) and All Nigeria People Party (ANPP).
Analysts are of the view that never
before had presidential electioneering campaigns been so heated, and
characterize by religious and tribal sentiments, and punctuated by hate
messages like the 2015 election. According to some of them, comments and
actions by the political actors, their parties and supporters tend to
portend a gloomy days ahead.
President Jonathan’s campaign convoy had
been attacked and stoned at in Bauchi State and other parts of the
north by persons yet to be identified and arrested while comments by
ex-militant leaders in Niger Delta region, where Jonathan hails from,
are suggestive of ‘trouble’ in the event that the incumbent is not
re-elected in the February 14 poll.
Ikechukwu Asogwa, a teacher in Mararaba
area of Abuja, told BusinessDay that he had already decided to take his
family home by this weekend, adding that they deliberately did not
travel home during the Christmas celebrations because they had made up
their mind to go home during the election.
“There is general apprehension here;
many families are yet to come back from Christmas holiday for fear of
the unknown,” Asogwa said, adding, “we have not forgotten the 1993
‘Abiola Run’ experience.”
In Port Harcourt, not many people are
travelling, “but it is still too early in the day to conclude,” Charles
Onoima, a worker with an oil servicing firm, told BusinessDay, adding
however, that depending on what happens after this week, his family
might be travelling to Enugu which is more peaceful and much nearer
home.
“Depending on what happens from next
week, I tell you, I am not going to take chances”, he emphasized,
recalling that during the June 12, 1993 election crisis, people were
trapped and many are still licking their wounds from that experience.
“I work for an agency of government in
Abuja. As it stands, violence might erupt if the results of the
elections do not favour some politicians. As a precautionary measure, I
am going on leave few days to the elections. I have decided to travel to
Lagos to be with my family”, said Chukwuma Uzor, a public servant.
Okwuchukwu Ikeanyionwu, a businessman
from the south-eastern part of the country lives in Karu, Nassarawa
State. He said he did not go home for Christmas festivity, last
December, because he had planned to return to the east first week of
February. “From my experience in 2011, some places in the country are
volatile. There have been speculations that there will be violence no
matter who wins.” He said his permanent voter card (PVC) is in the
south-east because he registered there and would also love to exercise
his franchise there.
“I have since 2011 when I lost my goods
to looting by election violence relocated to Abuja from Kano. I am still
not comfortable with the security situation in Abuja, especially during
and after the February elections. I have not bothered bringing my
family back after Christmas. They have already registered my children in
schools in Enugu”, Felix Madumere, a businessman said.
Despite the assurances of security and
the peace deal by all political parties, Elisha Egunu, a pharmacist,
said that a lot of people are taking precautions to avert the ugly
experience of 2011 post- election violence because government at all
levels care less about the security of the citizens.
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