Nigeria’s crippling fuel shortages are
unlikely to ease any time soon and much-needed deregulation of the
subsidised market would be a fraught process, Tonye Cole, the chief
executive of energy company Sahara Group said on Wednesday.
Prospects for a removal of subsidies,
and a change in government at the end of May, have created fuel
shortages in the country which show no signs of abating.
Gasoline importers and stakeholders down
the supply chain to the most remote independent retailer are owed
something from the government, directly or indirectly.
“People are getting worried about
whether they will get paid … If they are legitimately owed, they will
get paid but the question is when,” Cole said on the sidelines of a
conference.
Africa’s biggest oil producer heavily
subsidises gasoline and depends on imports for the bulk of its domestic
demand due to an underperforming refining system.
But the cash-strapped government has
already been forced to slash subsidies by 90 percent and the expectation
is for a total phase-out.
Cole said the process of freeing the
market would be fraught as adjusting to higher pump prices would be
painful for about a year for the average Nigerian, particularly with a
weaker currency.
Even for importers, the process of
equalising gasoline station prices with import costs would be chaotic,
as the many agencies that regulate every minutiae of the supply chain
would have to be dismantled.
“They have to go after all those agencies but it’s the only way forward,” Cole said.
Sahara, which supplies gasoline through a
crude processing agreement, was asked by the state agency regulating
oil products to “pre-deliver” gasoline ahead of receiving its crude
allocation as a stop-gap for the lack of product being brought in under
the subsidy scheme.
But Cole said the early deliveries were
stopped in May to avoid being caught out should the processing
agreements, criticised for their opacity, be reviewed by the new
government.
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