Gas supplies are expected to be "comfortable", while electricity margins, at 5.1%, are "manageable", the grid said in its Winter Outlook.
The Grid has secured extra supplies to maintain this margin, including paying some plants to remain on standby.
Without these measures, the margin would be 1.2%.
"Our
analysis suggests that electricity margins will continue to be tight
but manageable throughout the winter period," said Cordi O'Hara,
director of UK Market
Operations.
"We have taken appropriate steps to support security of supply through the procurement of additional balancing services."
The Grid made similar provisions last winter.
Gas
supplies are far more abundant. The Grid forecasts peak demand of 465
million cubic metres a day, with a potential supply of up to 613 million
cubic metres.
"Keeping the lights on is non-negotiable," said
Energy and Climate Change Secretary Amber Rudd. "National Grid has the
right tools in place to manage the system this winter and we will ensure
that they continue to do so in future."
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