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Monday, January 18, 2016

Agricultural Sector: Full year Earnings Prospects Promising

The agricultural sector is dominated by oil palm producing companies, which are experiencing a recovery in earnings growth after a period of slowdown. The earnings prospects for the operators here usually change with changes in product yields – which is a weather dependent factor. This tends to create an unstable pattern of growth in revenue and profit.

...Yam tubers and yam plantation
…Yam tubers and yam plantation

In reflection of the changing product yields and the unstable growth in sales revenue, profit performance follows a random walk. Fiscal 2015 appears to be one of an upward step on revenue and a strong profit growth following major gains in profit margin. The sector commands some of the highest profit margins among listed companies, being locally dependent and therefore shielded from exchange rate-induced cost increases.

The sector is unable to satisfy product demand due to limited operating capacity. Local output of palm products, for instance, meets about one-third of total domestic demand. Importation has been restricted under the Central Bank’s foreign exchange conservation measures. This is expected to boost product prices and encourage domestic capacity expansion. Such is however a long gestation programme, which isn’t going to improve operating capacity in the short-term.

Okomu Oil

Okomu Oil has expanded its oil palm plantation in recent years as well as processing facilities. Earnings figures have however been declining over the past three years but an upturn is expected in 2015. The company grew sales revenue by 12.3% year on-year at the end of the third quarter to N7.75 billion and may achieve the first improvement in turnover since 2012. It raised after tax profit by 36% to N2.20 billion in the third quarter, which was already well above the full year profit figure of N1.55 billion in 2014.
The strong growth in profit is expected to be maintained to full year and Okomu Oil Palm may end its three-year profit downslide in 2015 and raise net profit to a three-year high. The strength in profit performance in the year follows a gain in profit margin.  Net profit margin has risen from 17.9% at the end of preceding year to 28.4% at the end of the third quarter of 2015. The company earned N2.31 per share at the end of the third quarter, already above the N1.62 it reported in the 2014 full year.

Presco
Presco maintained a strong earnings growth as per the interim reports in 2015 with sales revenue growing and profit margin significantly improved. This appears to set the company on the path of another strong profit growth in 2015 after it nearly doubled profit in the prior year. At the end of the third quarter, after tax profit was already standing 35% above the full year figure in 2014.
Sales revenue grew by 16.2% year-on-year to N8.04 billion in the third quarter and is expected to stand at over N10 billion at the end of the year. After tax profit grew more than three and half times as fast as revenue to N3.52 billion at the end of the third quarter and is estimated to grow by over 86% to N4.9 billion at the end of 2015.

The company operated with a significantly reduced cost-income ratio, which lifted net profit margin from 32% in the same period last year to 44% at the end of the third quarter. The strength to grow profit margin came from a drop of 16.6% in cost of sales against the increase of 16.2% in sales revenue in the third quarter. This enabled the company to lift gross profit margin from 42.2% in the same period last year to 58.5% at the end of the third quarter and raise gross profit by 61% to N4.71 billion at the end of September.

By mike uzor

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