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VAIDS
Tuesday, May 16, 2017
Weak domestic growth calls for supportive policy, says Lesetja Kganyago
Central banks everywhere play a critical role in
shaping the direction of a country’s economy. The South African Reserve
Bank’s main mandates are to ensure financial and economic stability and
to regulate the banking sector.
It achieves the first through monetary policy, which involves
targeting inflation to prevent borrowing costs from rising and
competitiveness of the economy from deteriorating. But the bank has been
criticised for focusing too much on curbing inflation — it keeps
inflation within a target range of 3%-6% — at the expense of economic
growth.
The banking regulation arm is also facing a barrage of questions. The
Conversation Africa organised three economic scholars to pose questions
to the Reserve Bank governor Lesetja Kganyago. NIMISHA NAIK: (a lecturer in economics,
macroeconomics and mathematical economics at the University of the
Witwatersrand): How should the Reserve Bank respond to the country’s
recent credit rating downgrade? What approaches can it take to limit the
potential decrease in investments to South Africa?
LESETJA KGANYAGO: A rating downgrade implies higher
risk for investing in a country. As such (everything else being equal) a
higher return is required to attract the same amount of foreign capital
necessary to finance SA’s current account deficit. As markets shift to reflect the higher return needed, the country’s
currency might weaken. This adjustment may be compounded by foreign
funds having to divest from SA as their investment mandates prevent them
from holding noninvestment grade assets.
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