There could be up to 100 billion
barrels of oil onshore beneath the South of England, says exploration
firm UK Oil & Gas Investments (UKOG).
Last year, the firm
drilled a well at Horse Hill, near Gatwick airport, and analysis of that
well suggests the local area could hold 158 million barrels of oil per
square mile.
But only a fraction of the 100 billion total would be recovered, UKOG admits.
The North Sea has produced about 45 billion barrels in 40 years.
"We
think we've found a very significant discovery here, probably the
largest [onshore in the UK] in the last 30 years, and we think it has
national significance," Stephen Sanderson, UKOG's chief executive told
the BBC.
UKOG says that the majority of the oil lies within the
Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge formation at a depth of between 2,500ft (762m)
and 3,000ft (914m).
It describes this as a "world class potential resource" and that the
well has the "potential for significant daily oil production".
Compared with similar geology in the US and West Siberia, it estimates that 3% to 15% of the oil could be recovered.
Underground riches
Oil
has been produced onshore in the South of England for decades. There
are currently around a dozen oil production sites across the Weald, a
region spanning Kent, Sussex, Surrey and Hampshire.
Last year, a
report for the government by the British Geological Survey estimated
that the region may have shale oil resources in the range of 2.2-to-8.5
billion barrels, with a central estimate of 4.4 billion barrels of oil.
UKOG says that it drilled the deepest well in the region in the last
30 years and that the results "comprehensively change the understanding
of the area's potential oil resources".
"Based on what we've
found here, we're looking at between 50 and 100 billion barrels of oil
in place in the ground," says Mr Sanderson.
"We believe we can
recover between 5% and 15% of the oil in the ground, which by 2030 could
mean that we produce 10%-to-30% of the UK's oil demand from within the
Weald area."
'Significant'
Work currently under way at Imperial College also suggests that there may be more oil in the region than previously thought.
Professor
Alastair Fraser has used some of the most sophisticated equipment in
the world, based at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, to analyse
rock samples.
His study of a third of the Weald came up with a resource of 13 billion barrels.
"So if I scaled that up, we are coming up to numbers of 40 billion barrels," he told the BBC.
"Now that's getting significant. That's a resource. That's what's there in the ground. We've still got to get it out."
Fracking unnecessary
Most experts believe fracking, or hydraulic fracturing, will be needed to get commercial quantities of oil from the region.
Concerns over fracking led to large-scale protests when Cuadrilla drilled at Balcombe, West Sussex, in 2013.
But
UKOG has consistently stated that it is not intending to use fracking,
which involves pumping water, sand and chemicals into rocks at high
pressure to liberate the oil and gas trapped within.
It says that
the oil at Horse Hill is held in rocks that are naturally fractured,
which "gives strong encouragement that these reservoirs can be
successfully produced using conventional horizontal drilling and
completion techniques".
The company says further drilling and well testing will be needed to prove these initial results.
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