Oil prices have fallen again amid renewed worries about low
global growth with Brent crude near four-year lows.
Brent crude dropped to $87.74 a barrel, its
lowest since December 2010, before recovering some ground to $88.12.
US light crude oil was down $1.40 at $84.42, close to a
two-year low.
The prospect of weak economic growth cutting demand for oil
has hit prices. In addition, key Opec producer Saudi Arabia has signalled it
could cope with lower prices.
Confidence 'dismantled'
Last week, the International Monetary Fund shaved its forecast for global growth for this year from 3.4% to 3.3%.
It said overall global growth would be
held back by weakness in Japan, Latin America and Europe, with any
recovery in the advanced economies "weak and uneven".
The gloomy growth outlook continued to weigh on stock markets
on Monday, with the main European indexes all opening lower following
hefty falls last week.
Share values have been hit recently, with some analysts arguing they are catching up with economic reality.
Several times this year the UK's FTSE 100 index came close to
topping its all time high of 6,930.2, last reached at the end of
December 1999. However, since the start of September the FTSE 100 index
has lost 10%.
Alastair McCaig, market analyst at City watchers IG, said:
"Just over a month ago expectations that the FTSE could break above the
7,000 level were the norm, with the index trading less than 100 points
away.
"The subsequent economic data out of Germany and dismantling
of confidence has not only slaughtered European markets but dragged the
UK down too."
Key changes
Although some members of the Opec oil producers' cartel are
pushing for production cuts to take the oil price back to the
$100-a-barrel level, Saudi Arabia has let it be known informally that it
would be unlikely to push for a cut in production to boost prices even
if they fell to $80 a barrel.
Oil prices have fallen 20% since June.
Kuwait's oil minister, Ali al-Omair, was quoted as saying by
state news agency KUNA over the weekend that a price of $76-$77 a barrel
might be the floor price.
That is what it costs to produce a barrel of oil in Russia
and the US, so any lower could mean producers mothballing production or
running at a loss.
There have been two significant changes in the oil market recently.
At the start of this month, Saudi Arabia said it would cut
its selling price for oil in a move to protect its market share,
something that was described as a "structural change" as Saudi Arabia
had never explicitly competed on price.
The other more dramatic development has been the growing
extraction of shale oil in the US, which has increased the country's
production of oil significantly.
The International Energy Agency has forecast that the US will
soon overtake Saudi Arabia and Russia to become the world's biggest oil
producer.
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