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Friday, August 25, 2017

Five Ways We’re Unprepared for the Future of Work – and how we can get ready now

Sometimes stepping away from my normal routine provides a fresh perspective to help see opportunities and potential pitfalls. Last week I did just that when I attended CIO Magazine's annual conference in Colorado Springs to accept the CIO100 Award. This year's theme was "Innovating in the Digital Economy." The week was packed with amazing speakers. With my head still spinning with ideas, on the flight home I decided to pull out my notes and distill a few of the key take-aways.


#1] From Agile to Anticipatory

While implementation of Agile is still important for organizations, there is a new A-word in town; Anticipatory. Agile ways of working can help teams keep pace with ever-increasing rates of change, but developing the foresight to anticipate change before it occurs is how to drive real strategic advantage. Some changes are relatively simple to predict. For example, we already know that voice recognition, intelligent virtual agents, and robotic process automation ('bots') will change everything about how we interact and co-exist with computers. One statistic cited last week was that 40% of all work currently done in the legal industry will be fully automated within 2 years. I think about the current generation of high-schoolers, like my daughter, aspiring to go to law school in the future. Will they need concentrations in artificial intelligence to go with their legal degrees?

#2] Context is King
In a world dominated by impermanence, where the future unfolds in real time, contextual thinking is the key to anticipating change. The winners will be those who are able to see where the flow is headed and get the context right before anyone else. I am reminded of my time in the publishing industry in the late 90's. From our vantage point, we were able to see the game changing potential of ecommerce sites like Amazon.com, digital publishing as the new standard of media, and the rise of mobile devices. Yet it took another decade for the true impact of these innovations to play out. Why? Contextual factors like broadband internet access, increases in mobile processing speed, and cheap cloud storage all needed to be in place before the true breakthrough impact could occur. Firms that saw this in advance were able to survive and thrive while the more myopic organizations were not. 

#3] Data Science or Data Arts
Data is the raw material from which we draw all these future-looking hypotheses. Right now the world’s computer systems are generating enough data that if we able to somehow print it out the resulting stack of paper would reach from Earth to Mars, every day. Unfortunately, not all of this data is useful. On top of that, ingesting and mining it using our traditional programmatic approaches is extremely slow and, in some cases, impossible. Artificial intelligence, neural networks, and machine learning are becoming prominent because they have the ability to rapidly commoditize this work, in many cases learning and optimizing themselves without human intervention. This raises the question as to what role humans will play as these approaches get more advanced and autonomous. In contrast to my daughter, my son is an aspiring musician. It may not be a bad career choice. In a future where bots and algorithms automate increasingly wider swaths of the technical and scientific fields, the arts may very well become the final frontier where human beings create value. While this may sound far-fetched, I noticed recently that the name of the STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) program in our local high school was changed to STEAM to incorporate another A-word, the Arts.

#4] EX is the new CX
With all the discussion du jour revolving around the customer experience, firms may be at risk of losing on another important front, the employee experience. We are often asked to live two separate lives inside and outside the office. In our consumer lives, service providers compete to make every transaction 'frictionless' in the hopes of retaining our loyalty and keeping our attention. As a result, we have come to expect things like free two-day delivery and ubiquitous wifi access as the minimum standards of service. However, when we enter the workplace we often encounter cludgey internal processes that are optimized for short-term cost efficiencies without much consideration of the end-to-end user experience. This dichotomy may very well lead to retention issues as more and more digital natives enter the workforce. In a world where holding on to key talent may become just as challenging as retaining customers, we may want to consider a new C-level role, the Employee Experience Officer.

#5] Enter the War for Talent
So where do we find these agile, anticipatory, contextual thinking, scientific artists in the first place? Nobody knows, but the search will be difficult and it's more than likely that organizations will need to develop some of these new skills within their own ranks. At the CIO100 last week, several speakers talked about the role of mentoring and coaching in building these capabilities. Key to this may be finding talent with the right mindset and pairing them with stakeholders inside and outside their organizational walls who can broaden their perspective. In terms of training, as a society we have very few programs to prepare people for careers in the new economy. Growing up in a family of German and Slavic immigrants, I was constantly surrounded by people from the building trades: carpenters, plumbers, roofers. Virtually all them had multiple years in apprenticeships to prepare them for their role in the post-WWII boon in American construction. Where are the analogous programs that will prepare our workforce to build our new digital economy? At my current company, we are already exploring digital business apprenticeships as part of our early talent development programs. I would welcome thoughts from those of you going down a similar path.

The Road Ahead
Having jotted down the thoughts above, I got off the plane and was immediately brought back to reality. My unconnected car was difficult to find in the crowded airport parking garage because it can't tell me where it is. I drove home through rush-hour traffic created by the stop-and-go of non-autonomous vehicles and made worse by several accidents along the way. My GPS navigation gave up on trying to find a better route as every option offered had a 'similar ETA'. As I finally made my way through the winding rural roads near my home outside Philadelphia, I was reminded that we sure have a long way to go.

by  Matt Lasmanis

VP IT at GSK USA

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